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R2. Crown Towers Perth Trophy -  1 January 1970 preview

R2. Crown Towers Perth Trophy - 1 January 1970

Chris Nelson | Fri 14 October, 2016

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This may only be a 6 horse field but it's super competitive with a horse like Flying Roar looking for 4 wins on the bounce at $12 in most fixed odds markets. Star Exhibit returns first-up from a spell at Ascot as he did last year when knocking off Pounamu over 1600m. In a small field he will have a short sharp sprint at them down the home straight but I am hoping that with race fitness, a weight advantage and potentially a two length head start that Infathuated can hold him out. Drops in weight with Paul Harvey retaining the mount back to a track where he has enjoyed previous success I think Infathuated around $5 in a small field is good shopping and I will risk the even money favourite first-up. Pounamu is a noted non-winner and one who has run out of chances and excuses for mine.

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$50 x $50

All bets represent a maximum confidence rating of $100 expenditure.

Chris Nelson's Bets for the Meeting

RNoRunnerWPResultReturn
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Profit/Loss$0.00

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45 Comments | 9 years ago

Recent Comments

User carey

carey 17 Oct | Posts: 6229

mostly from horses that led and weakened over shorter distances, and then stepped up in distance, and of course they normally lead again, but at a much more relaxed tempopeople are so good at misconstruing that.they tend to think if you weaken at shorter it's ...

User Audioslave

Audioslave 17 Oct | Posts: 34

Carey, Your comment above took me a long time to learn theoretically. And then it happened a few times with horses I owned. Obviously it is not a rule but I reckon you are spot on.One of the biggest misconceptions in horse racing.

User hash

hash 16 Oct | Posts: 7333

mostly from horses that led and weakened over shorter distances, and then stepped up in distance, and of course they normally lead again, but at a much more relaxed tempopeople are so good at misconstruing that.they tend to think if you weaken at shorter it's ...

User carey

carey 16 Oct | Posts: 6229

when i cared, there were numerous factors to do with pace and positioning.but basically handy is best at any track over any distance, in any type of race.statistics prove it is so.which is why i reckon pike's record would be better if he was allowed to ride th...

User therealkramer

therealkramer 16 Oct | Posts: 7932

Ok. thanks for responding. I tend to only want to back the fillies and colts at WFA or middle distances when they go forward. I heard Craig Williams saying this morning that he expected Yankee Rose to go back in the CP because when she went forward she failed ...

User carey

carey 16 Oct | Posts: 6229

i have no idea what it would have done on the dry.i didn't think it could win before the race, and the fact that it ended up heavy means that i may have been right in the dry, but we will never know.delicay might not have done as well either.it was only an 180...

User therealkramer

therealkramer 16 Oct | Posts: 7932

@Carey Do you think Perfect Reflection would have beaten Delicacy home on a dry track if they were in the same position as they were on that track? The intention was always to go back before the rain arrived on race day.

User carey

carey 16 Oct | Posts: 6229

and in that race(KT) the pace was massive, where leaders had buckleys and none.how much did you win on that rodent? I tend to think tempo is less important when the track is in the heavy range-it becomes more about finding the better ground and building mom...

User therealkramer

therealkramer 15 Oct | Posts: 7932

and in that race(KT) the pace was massive, where leaders had buckleys and none.how much did you win on that rodent? I tend to think tempo is less important when the track is in the heavy range-it becomes more about finding the better ground and building mom...

User TorpedoPunt

TorpedoPunt 15 Oct | Posts: 1800

Never known a horse like Flytego.As soon as he gets to Ascot he puts in.To the naked eye I thought he had run 2nd and was raging once they put the numbers up on Sky.Thankfully he got on the podium, just..