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Ascot 2/1/21
West Australian Racing
R1- STORM WHISPER had trialled well for his debut run at Bunbury and justified a very short quote. Beat up on limited opposition but did so in pretty slick time so expect he can bring that to town and be very competitive. Finished alongside a Saturday 2yo winner at his trials and looks capable of holding the lead from the low draw which is always a plus for youngsters.
R2- BOURBON BEAU has been racing well in maidens and won with authority last start. Looks a day that could suit leaders and from barrier one in a race without a great deal of early speed he could hold the front softly. Had always trialled like a horse that could win on a Saturday and this looks about as good an opportunity as he’ll get dropping back to 1100 and against a moderate bunch of 3yos.
R3- THE FUGAZI has been a touch underwhelming at his last couple when seeming to have every chance. In saying that his runs still haven’t been bad and he gets the shades on for this and it may be the key. His form is far better than his rivals here having been competitive in 72+ grade and finishing within 3L of Truly Great. From the wider draw and with the blinkers expect they will send him forward which is another plus. Last chance for him.
R4- KRAMDEN returned from a stint in Carnarvon with a solid effort racing well outside the handicap. Sat in the slipstream of Ziebell and didn’t have the brilliance to stick with him after he set a controlled speed. Expect he’ll come out running in this and with Condor Heroes scratched he should be able to bowl along without too much pressure. If the track is playing to leaders he’ll be mighty hard to catch with 51kg.
R5- TYCOON STORM has been highly competitive in the fillies and mares series at her last two. Was luckless fresh over 1200 when getting caught on the fence up the straight. Seemed to peak on her run last start at 1400 after coming off the fence on straightening but wasn’t beaten far. Has been freshened and back to 1200 here and looks like getting the run leaders back again from one. Those are all positives and has carried 60kg to victory in the past.
R6- CHANTREA always looked to have this race at her mercy and despite looking a little plain to the eye last start she still looks hard to beat. Was terrific first up over 1400 when shooting up the inside before sitting leaders back last start and looked to be laid on top of when attempting to quick. Still found the line like the mare who wants 1800 most and she can again sit close to a slow tempo and with even luck it looks her race.
R7- MERVYN comes to this fresh on a track that should really play to his strengths. Stretched the neck of Indian Pacific two starts ago when fresh beating Stageman in the process and picks up weight on Indian Pacific. Last start was a good run at WFA conditions when only beaten 1L and looks suited back into handicap conditions on the minimum. If they leave him to his own devices out in front good luck catching him.
R8- Best Bet: TRULY GREAT has looked the Perth Cup winner for a long time but now has to prove himself. 60kg and a wide draw do look a little sticky but he has more his last two at WFA with 59kg and has done so dominantly. Has been beaten once in six starts this campaign and that was in the Railway Stakes when far from disgraced. He shapes as becoming on of Bob’s best and can overcome 60kg from the back of the field to stamp his Melbourne 2021 credentials.
R9- SENTIMENTAL QUEEN has yet to put in a bad run since joining Hayden Ballantyne’s yard. Had the blinkers come off two back and was a powerful winner in a class three before acquitting herself well in 66+ grade in what looks the race that will produce the winner here. She maps to get it soft one or two back the fence which is how she likes it and if she can find room in the straight will be right in this.
R2- BOURBON BEAU has been racing well in maidens and won with authority last start. Looks a day that could suit leaders and from barrier one in a race without a great deal of early speed he could hold the front softly. Had always trialled like a horse that could win on a Saturday and this looks about as good an opportunity as he’ll get dropping back to 1100 and against a moderate bunch of 3yos.
R3- THE FUGAZI has been a touch underwhelming at his last couple when seeming to have every chance. In saying that his runs still haven’t been bad and he gets the shades on for this and it may be the key. His form is far better than his rivals here having been competitive in 72+ grade and finishing within 3L of Truly Great. From the wider draw and with the blinkers expect they will send him forward which is another plus. Last chance for him.
R4- KRAMDEN returned from a stint in Carnarvon with a solid effort racing well outside the handicap. Sat in the slipstream of Ziebell and didn’t have the brilliance to stick with him after he set a controlled speed. Expect he’ll come out running in this and with Condor Heroes scratched he should be able to bowl along without too much pressure. If the track is playing to leaders he’ll be mighty hard to catch with 51kg.
R5- TYCOON STORM has been highly competitive in the fillies and mares series at her last two. Was luckless fresh over 1200 when getting caught on the fence up the straight. Seemed to peak on her run last start at 1400 after coming off the fence on straightening but wasn’t beaten far. Has been freshened and back to 1200 here and looks like getting the run leaders back again from one. Those are all positives and has carried 60kg to victory in the past.
R6- CHANTREA always looked to have this race at her mercy and despite looking a little plain to the eye last start she still looks hard to beat. Was terrific first up over 1400 when shooting up the inside before sitting leaders back last start and looked to be laid on top of when attempting to quick. Still found the line like the mare who wants 1800 most and she can again sit close to a slow tempo and with even luck it looks her race.
R7- MERVYN comes to this fresh on a track that should really play to his strengths. Stretched the neck of Indian Pacific two starts ago when fresh beating Stageman in the process and picks up weight on Indian Pacific. Last start was a good run at WFA conditions when only beaten 1L and looks suited back into handicap conditions on the minimum. If they leave him to his own devices out in front good luck catching him.
R8- Best Bet: TRULY GREAT has looked the Perth Cup winner for a long time but now has to prove himself. 60kg and a wide draw do look a little sticky but he has more his last two at WFA with 59kg and has done so dominantly. Has been beaten once in six starts this campaign and that was in the Railway Stakes when far from disgraced. He shapes as becoming on of Bob’s best and can overcome 60kg from the back of the field to stamp his Melbourne 2021 credentials.
R9- SENTIMENTAL QUEEN has yet to put in a bad run since joining Hayden Ballantyne’s yard. Had the blinkers come off two back and was a powerful winner in a class three before acquitting herself well in 66+ grade in what looks the race that will produce the winner here. She maps to get it soft one or two back the fence which is how she likes it and if she can find room in the straight will be right in this.
+1 -1
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Comments
hash, SKIDS, bigorangecat, Rodent, H-BOMBER, Chris likes this post.
Couple of speculator bucks on loki and platoon in cup while conceding neufbosc hard to beat.
So if you've pre-purchased a ticket and can't get there until say 3pm, you may not get in?
SKIDS, Manchild likes this post.
Can't see how they are going to police it, with three entry points on course plus jockeys, stable staff etc going through another entrance again...
Plus, will they account for people leaving, therefore allowing more people in?
Promises to be an extremely difficult exercise for PR.
And @Tivers yeah nah- I did say a "pre-purchased ticket" but i see what you were trying to do, fair attempt ;)
Naughty by Nature W (should nearly be unbeaten this prep)
Carocapo P (Indian Pacific should win but Caro will be leading a long way out)
Princess Jenni EW (Truly Great should win but can't have at 2.30, quinellas)
Big Shot Paddy EW (disaster of a race and anything could win)
Late quaddie
6_9
4_6
1_2_3_4
FD
ALOT of shoulds and coulds.
Best of luck all
Thunderstruck, Manchild likes this post.
R4: Night Voyage and Rebel Yell have some appeal, the drift of Night Voyage is alarming and perhaps they may be looking to drop a few points before they get fairdinkum so might have something on Rebel EW.
R6: No6 Naughty By Nature-Just keeps running on, think both the Peters runners are massive overs and definitely in my quaddies.
R7: N04 Carocapo-Trail the fave then go taataa at the top of the straight.
R8: No2 Trap For Fools-Just see him giving such a good site in front have to be on at the price.
R9: No6 Sentimental Queen-Soft along the fence and too quick for them late.
Four mates just called, they got turned away with free tix at the time of race 1. Apparently they were only letting in 1000 with free tickets. I reckon theres no hope in hell that 1000 freebies were in there by race 1.
Seems they really aren't handling this well at all.
its not funny at all for the attendees but is anyone really surprised its a shitshow?
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8-}
\:D/ \:D/ <:-P <:-P \:D/ \:D/
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