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Northerly Stakes Day Ratings & Preview

West Australian Racing
ChrisChris    5,736 posts
edited December 2025 West Australian Racing

Race 1: Swan Draught Handicap (1600m)

The Analysis:

We kick off with a tricky mile event. Trio is the textbook "consistent galloper" we love to back. He has finished in the money in 14 of his 23 career starts (60%) and is rarely far away. He drops back from a solid 3rd over 1800m and meets this field nicely at the weights relative to his ratings figure. He maps to get a lovely run just off the speed. The danger is Royal Toronado, who has the "Pike Factor" and closed off strongly for 3rd last start. However, Trio's consistency gives him the edge on my scorecard today.

Recommended Bet:

Medium (1.5 Units) – Trio @ $5.00 (Estimate)

SelectionDangerComment
3. TRIO4. ROYAL TORONADOConsistent type who maps well. Solid value play.

Race 2: Magic Millions Plate (1000m)

The Analysis:

Two-year-old races are often a minefield, but the trial form here is quite revealing. Ace Queen Suited showed professionalism to win her trial at Belmont, showing a nice turn of foot. She represents a stable that knows how to ready a juvenile. The danger, Red Lark, caught the eye on debut in the Crystal Slipper, making up significant ground from the tail to finish 6th. With natural improvement, he will be charging late, but the 1000m around Ascot favors the speed of the debutant.

Recommended Bet:

Bet (1 Unit) – Ace Queen Suited @ $2.90

SelectionDangerComment
9. ACE QUEEN SUITED2. RED LARKTrial winner who looks ready to go.

Race 3: Parliamentarians' Cup (2200m)

The Analysis:

Major Mario is a standout "Fifty Percenter" in this field, finishing in the money in 20 of his 31 starts (64%). He is in career-best form, winning over 2100m last start and proving he can stay the trip. He rises slightly in weight but is rock-hard fit and maps to control the tempo or sit handy. Fame is the sleeper; he had no luck last start when held up and has the ratings to surprise if he gets clear air.

Recommended Bet:

High (2 Units) – Major Mario @ $4.20

SelectionDangerComment
5. MAJOR MARIO3. FAMEHard fit, in form, and loves the distance.

Comments

  • ChrisChris    5,736 posts

    Race 4: Quayclean Plate (1000m)

    The Analysis:

    This is a race where class should prevail. Castle Road drops back to his own age group after a gallant effort in the Listed Placid Ark Stakes where he led and was only overhauled late. He boasts a 54% strike rate (Win/Place) and has the early speed to overcome the barrier. He is the clear class runner in this field. Baby Pearl was outclassed in the same race but has previous form that suggests she can bounce back in this easier grade.

    Recommended Bet:

    Best Bet (3 Units) – Castle Road @ $3.20

    SelectionDangerComment
    1. CASTLE ROAD2. BABY PEARLHuge class drop. The one to beat.

    Race 5: MCA Polytrack Handicap (1400m)

    The Analysis:

    A competitive 78+ handicap. Silver Eye is a remarkably consistent animal, placing in 58% of his starts. He fought on bravely for 3rd last start over 1200m and the step up to 1400m looks ideal at this stage of his preparation. He maps to get a soft run. Angel Undercover was excellent winning two starts back but had to work too hard last time out. If she can cross without burning too much fuel, she is a serious threat.

    Recommended Bet:

    Medium (1.5 Units) – Silver Eye @ $6.50

    SelectionDangerComment
    6. SILVER EYE4. ANGEL UNDERCOVERConsistent, maps well, great each-way value.

    Race 6: Westspeed Platinum Series Final (1400m)

    The Analysis:

    Auto Cruise is a horse on the rise. He has finished in the money in 100% of his 4 career starts and unleashed a massive finish to just miss last start. He looks destined for better things than this grade. Gold Maker is another "Fifty Percenter" (57% place rate) who is always around the mark. He will be running on, but Auto Cruise looks to have the higher ceiling.

    Recommended Bet:

    High (2 Units) – Auto Cruise @ $3.80

    SelectionDangerComment
    9. AUTO CRUISE2. GOLD MAKERfast finisher with massive upside.
  • ChrisChris    5,736 posts

    Race 7: Schweppes Handicap (1400m)

    The Analysis:

    I'm looking closely at Our Paladin Al here. He resumes today but boasts an impressive 83% strike rate (5 placings from 6 starts). He flies fresh and has trialled well. If he is anywhere near his top, he rates highly. Skytalker had a genuine excuse last start (elevated heart rate) and his prior form (52% place rate) suggests he can bounce back at odds.

    Recommended Bet:

    Bet (1 Unit) – Our Paladin Al @ $5.50

    SelectionDangerComment
    2. OUR PALADIN AL6. SKYTALKERResuming with excellent stats. Watch betting.

    Race 8: G.A. Towton Cup (2200m)

    The Analysis:

    This is a high-quality staying contest. Captain Pluto is a model of consistency (63% place rate). He stormed home for 2nd in the AJ Scahill last start and meets the winner, Simply, on slightly better weight terms. The step to 2200m is right in his wheelhouse. Forever Boy is on the quick back-up (7 days) after a strong win, which is a traditional staying preparation tactic that I respect greatly.

    Recommended Bet:

    High (2 Units) – Captain Pluto @ $3.50

    SelectionDangerComment
    2. CAPTAIN PLUTO10. FOREVER BOYConsistent stayer ready to peak.

    Race 9: TABtouch - Northerly Stakes (1800m)

    The Analysis:

    The Group 1 feature. King Of Light is a phenomenon. Undefeated in 5 starts (100%), he takes on the older horses here under Weight-For-Age conditions carrying just 52kg. This weight advantage is massive for a 3YO of his quality. His turn of foot in the WA Guineas was electric. Cosmic Crusader has been a revelation this prep, winning 7 of 15, and Western Empire is the class runner looking to bounce back, but giving 7kg to a flying 3YO is a tall order.

    Recommended Bet:

    Best Bet (3 Units) – King Of Light @ $2.50

    SelectionDangerComment
    15. KING OF LIGHT11. COSMIC CRUSADERThe weight advantage is too good to ignore.
  • ChrisChris    5,736 posts

    Race 10: Bet Loop Handicap (1000m)

    The Analysis:

    We finish with a sprint where Richanco looks poised to strike. He is a winning machine with 6 wins from 11 starts (81% place rate). He is unbeaten first-up (3 from 3) and looked sharp winning a recent trial. Barrier 15 is the only concern, but he has the tactical speed to cross. Devine Belief is also a speedster with a great record (73% place rate) but resumes with bar shoes on, which is a slight query.

    Recommended Bet:

    High (2 Units) – Richanco @ $3.10

    SelectionDangerComment
    4. RICHANCO1. DEVINE BELIEFUnbeaten fresh and a prolific winner.

    Summary of Best Bets

    ConfidenceHorseRacePrice (Est)
    Best Bet (3 Units)15. King Of LightRace 9$2.50
    Best Bet (3 Units)1. Castle RoadRace 4$3.20
    High (2 Units)5. Major MarioRace 3$4.20
    High (2 Units)9. Auto CruiseRace 6$3.80
    High (2 Units)2. Captain PlutoRace 8$3.50
    High (2 Units)4. RichancoRace 10$3.10
    Medium (1.5 Units)3. TrioRace 1$5.00
    Medium (1.5 Units)6. Silver EyeRace 5$6.50
    Bet (1 Unit)9. Ace Queen SuitedRace 2$2.90
    Bet (1 Unit)2. Our Paladin AlRace 7$5.50

    Prices subject to fluctuation. Always gamble responsibly.

  • Vincent_vegaVincent_vega    674 posts
    Im not betting at the price but King of Light surely wins the Northerly.
    I hate hyping them up because they sometimes fall flat on their face but hopefully he is the next big shot to take on the East in coming years.
  • H-BOMBERH-BOMBER    10,567 posts
    Nothing wrong with Sentimental Hero at odds $51

    oldhendo, savethegame likes this post.

  • loose_gooseloose_goose    2,135 posts
    Good start with the winner & 2nd selection in Race 2 saluting
  • silkysilky    430 posts
    Lochie to Bob “how’s the relationship with Michael Granthams?”
    Bob to Lochie “he does what I tell him to do so it’s going well”
    Haha

    savethegame, Arapaho, Manchild, spinking likes this post.

  • DamienWyerDamienWyer    8,008 posts
    Thought Watch Me Rock had it at the 100M but all credit with Cosmic Crusader. 

    King of Light got stuck out very wide with 800M to go and I think his race was over then. 

    Manchild likes this post.

  • lukoeditslukoedits    15 posts
    looks like king of light get shoved out 4 wide just before they turned for home
  • GLAMOURGLAMOUR    881 posts
    And Pikeys comment on King of Light,wasn't tough enough looks like i made wrong choice,old story you are allways going to get different scenarios,everyone thought he was unbeatable ok he's being winning impressiably but step up to 1800 and taking on the big boys,don't get me wrong he's a true up and comer,let's hope he spells great and I'm sue he will come.back great.
  • MuldoonMuldoon    488 posts
    edited December 2025
    Good days racing but some of the calls average Western Empire called in a photo for third and then again back in the field as a disappointing run and in the first race the third horse called second ,second horse called third ,fourth horse called last. Accuracy is important.

    Thought Autocruise was very impressive today
  • JayJayJayJay    8,624 posts
    You want to check out the trot caller.....my horse not mentioned in the first run through, then got called the wrong name, in the wrong spot.....week in week out, he is diabolical.

    jum likes this post.

  • GLAMOURGLAMOUR    881 posts
    edited December 2025
    Muldoon said:

    Good days racing but some of the calls average Western Empire called in a photo for third and then again back in the field as a disappointing run and in the first race the third horse called second ,second horse called third ,fourth horse called last. Accuracy is important.

    Thought Autocruise was very impressive today

    As normal he only watches the ones he likes.and have no up and coming caller,so have to put up with it.was a great run from Autocruise,they where talking about Michael Grantham,he did ride,but weight got the better of him,but did go to Harness Racing,they didn't mention that maybe Lochie Taylor Tess Daly should study up,I'm positive Scotty Emery would have know that.
  • loose_gooseloose_goose    2,135 posts
    edited December 2025
    JayJay said:

    You want to check out the trot caller.....my horse not mentioned in the first run through, then got called the wrong name, in the wrong spot.....week in week out, he is diabolical.

    The winner of the 2nd yesterday never got called at the finish of it's previous start, and check out the Witterbottom, to see who was missed at the end
  • FlandersFlanders    1,414 posts
    I've had the misfortune of having to listen into some races recently as I've been driving... I can normally watch the races on a device or TV.
    You simply cannot rely on Darren McAullay being accurate.
    It's a real shame because I like the way he calls and the excitement.
    I wonder if he'll ever get this part of his job right?
    To become excellent at anything, one needs to realise where your weaknesses are and work on them, much more than practising the things that are fine.
    Or is his ego too big to allow this self-reflection?

    oldhendo, GLAMOUR, Grandpa, savethegame likes this post.

  • GLAMOURGLAMOUR    881 posts
    Flanders said:

    I've had the misfortune of having to listen into some races recently as I've been driving... I can normally watch the races on a device or TV.
    You simply cannot rely on Darren McAullay being accurate.
    It's a real shame because I like the way he calls and the excitement.
    I wonder if he'll ever get this part of his job right?
    To become excellent at anything, one needs to realise where your weaknesses are and work on them, much more than practising the things that are fine.
    Or is his ego too big to allow this self-reflection?

    This not only goes with him,but with the whole of Perth Racing and also RWWA,,they are a clicky little.outfit.

    Grandpa, savethegame likes this post.

  • JayJayJayJay    8,624 posts
    Check out R. Bell in race 1 at Bunbury today. Cannot even call the winner of the race the correct name. He really is becoming amateur hour, it happens so often.
  • SLIPPERGOLDENSLIPPERGOLDEN    8,483 posts
    GLAMOUR said:

    Flanders said:

    This not only goes with him,but with the whole of Perth Racing and also RWWA,,they are a clicky little.outfit.

    The industry has been incestuous since time immemorial 
  • warrenrobinsonwarrenrobinson    650 posts
    Talk about amateur hour watch GP twitter interviews, surely someone at RWA can fix this and also at the same time sort out the parade ring shemozzle. Pinjarra on a Monday with Matt Young is more professional although at times the dress code is a little grubby.
  • JayJayJayJay    8,624 posts
    I watched two pre race Twitter interviews with King on Saturday Night.

    Learnt absolutely nothing from the in house repartee and attempted humour ("Can your horse win? If all the others fall over."), complete with swearing.....total rubbish. All done in a hurry as the horses were wandering out onto the track like Browns Cows with King chasing along behind. 

    There is not even a semblance of order and professionalism in Birdcage numbered order parades and the field coming out to parade in numbered order to the home straight before turning and doing their preliminaries. It is as if they have given up on presenting the product in the correct and proper manner. There were up to 40 minutes between races Saturday Night, so absolutely zero excuse for not having a proper parade in numbered order giving the presenter time to get to all runners and drivers.

    Matt Young elicits far better responses down at Pinjarra from his stables interviews, he does not conduct street vaudeville nonsense and the information can be useful to punters, in spite of some shabby driver presentation.

    If they are going to continue with the parade ring interviews at GP, which I presume commands a fee, get the parades sorted out and do it properly or don't bother.

    warrenrobinson likes this post.

  • bookieloverbookielover    2,709 posts
    Four race callers have been sacked by Sky this year. Among them is Josh Fleming in Queensland, who was allegedly pushed out through the influence of David " chook" Fowler, who saw him as a threat. 

    Perth racing could do a lot worse than bringing in Fleming who is young and a very good caller, to Perth,  to serve as the second, soon to be main caller in WA. 

    JayJay, oldhendo, GLAMOUR, Manchild likes this post.

  • JayJayJayJay    8,624 posts
    Bookie, We have an excellent racecaller for Harness in waiting..waiting....waiting, and have had for years. There is no doubt in anyone's mind that he should be the primary harness racing caller in WA but Matt may run out of patience. 

    bookielover, jum likes this post.

  • ArapahoArapaho    395 posts
    If I was a race commentator, I would be wearing a steel coat ,or at least have it heavily padded around the back area.
  • JayJayJayJay    8,624 posts
    I take your point but accountability for performance is not a new concept. For 46 years, I was held accountable in my workplaces, annual reviews, performance management plans, standards to be set and met, public KPI's in operation.

    I get it that race calling is both very difficult and always in the public arena but that does not preclude consistently poor performance (and I am not talking the odd mistake, that is certainly allowable)from being called out and there has been a consistent pattern for a long period of time.

    jum, oldhendo likes this post.

  • jumjum    3,582 posts
    Socks Nation anyone  :-&

    Manchild, savethegame likes this post.

  • reloadwareloadwa    44 posts
    edited December 2025
    It’s all horrible really, last 3 weeks been a shit show media wise as we get more WA Racing news on racing preview podcasts, or eastern states radio than you get here now.

    Throughbreds, very little coverage on SEN Turf, then RacingWA / Tabtouch socials gone walk abouts too.

    Saturday beaten jocks haven’t done them for weeks now, that and the pre race interviews at the tie ups, completely gone on a Saturday. Hit and miss for little while, seems to be a when we feel like it job.

    Wouldn’t mind seeing Sportfm expand the Saturday Off and Running show (previously inside running), with a Racing Rewind type show, and maybe an early look show or something.

    What would be ideal is whack something on .com and racingwa TV.
  • Vincent_vegaVincent_vega    674 posts
    I get the impression there is a podcast in the works with some old timers hosting it.
  • savethegamesavethegame    3,216 posts
    jum said:

    Socks Nation anyone  :-&

    Bit Harsh Only A Group 1. 

     Kalg. Cup 2018  too much red ned the day before trying to keep up with Greg Miles.   Had to get Dave Sheehan to call the Cup. He would call Kalgoorlie  all  year, living in Kalgoorlie saved a fortune in return air fares. Not good enough for Hannans,or Cup  I never got that part,

    Ritchie Bell  does me fine. Matt Young  will get his chance whenever 5-10 years
  • jumjum    3,582 posts
    Just give the job to Matt Young.
    DMAc has the voice and delivers some great lines in big races. But he has been way too far of the mark in Accuracy for a few years now.
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