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Ascot Sunday Preview & Selections

West Australian Racing
ChrisChris    5,734 posts
edited February 15 West Australian Racing

Race 1: QUAYCLEAN MAIDEN (1200m)

The pace here looks genuine with Call Me Frosty likely to push forward from the wide gate to negate the draw. This horse has been knocking on the door with four minor placings from six starts. He’s the class runner here, but the map is tricky. The main danger is Bassett Hound, who showed plenty of grit when third over 1100m last start. He is second-up now and should have the fitness edge to stay on. If Xelcimus can jump cleanly, he’s the map horse from an inside trail, though he often finds one better.

  • Recommended Bet: High (2 Units) - Call Me Frosty (Est. $2.80)

  • Mini Table:

SelectionDangerComment
Call Me FrostyBassett HoundOn-speed profile; dropping back from Plate grade.

Framed Market (105%):

Call Me Frosty $2.70, Bassett Hound $4.20, Xelcimus $6.50, Arno River $9.00, Others $15+.


Race 2: SHARE BETS WITH TABTOUCH HANDICAP (1000m)

This is a battle of the "Bent" and the "Kissinger." Who’s Bent is the one to beat here. While he’s carrying a grandstand with 61.5kg, the 3kg claim for Giaan O’Donnell brings him back to a very competitive 58.5kg. He was unlucky to be picked off late last start and the 1000m is his sweet spot. Mr Kissinger is the immediate threat; he’s 2nd-up and has a win at this distance. He’ll be stalking the pace and has Johnston-Porter in the irons, which is usually a recipe for a payout.

  • Recommended Bet: Best Bet (3 Units) - Who’s Bent (Live Price $3.10)

  • Mini Table:

SelectionDangerComment
Who's BentMr KissingerSignificant weight relief with the claim; maps to lead.

Framed Market (105%):

Who's Bent $2.50, Mr Kissinger $3.80, Ripper Farooq $7.00, Setagaya $12.00, Others $20+.


Race 3: WITTENS IRRIGATION & DESIGN HANDICAP (1500m)

The Crimson Pirate is a punter's nightmare or a place-getter's dream, depending on your outlook. With six seconds from seven starts, he defines "consistency" (or "reluctance to win"). However, this is a very thin Class 1. He draws perfectly in gate 4 and Lucy Fiore knows him well. This is his chance to break the maiden status in a Class 1. Moonwalk is the saver; second-up and with William Pike taking the ride, the market will likely overreact, but the horse has the ratings to win this if the favorite finds another way to run second.

  • Recommended Bet: High (2 Units) - The Crimson Pirate (Est. $2.20)

  • Mini Table:

SelectionDangerComment
The Crimson PirateMoonwalkSurely today is the day. Peak ratings for this grade.

Framed Market (105%):

The Crimson Pirate $2.10, Moonwalk $4.50, Watto's Warrior $8.00, Space Ace $10.00, Others $18+.


Race 4: SWAN DRAUGHT HANDICAP (1200m)

Magical Sequence is the standout here. Jason Miller has this mare humming, and she’s chasing a hat-trick. While she’s up in class, her win at Pinjarra Scarpside was authoritative. William Pike sticks with her, and from gate 2, she should get the run of the race. Mai Aloha is the danger. She grew wings late at Bunbury to just miss and is a noted second-up performer. If the favorites overcook it up front, she’ll be the one whistling home.

  • Recommended Bet: High (2 Units) - Magical Sequence (Live Price $2.10)

  • Bomb: Written Words (0.5 Units) - Won well two back and the 3rd last start behind Watto's Mark reads well for this. (Est. $15.00)

  • Mini Table:

SelectionDangerComment
Magical SequenceMai AlohaHat-trick seeker; drawn to perfection for the Pike-Ascot-Sunday combo.

Framed Market (105%):

Magical Sequence $2.20, Mai Aloha $5.00, Main Act $7.50, Written Words $12.00, Others $20+.


Race 5: UNITE RESOURCING HANDICAP (1000m)

Haida Gwaii is a 1000m specialist with six wins at the trip. The 3rd last start in RTG 72+ company was a brave effort. Back to 66+ grade, she is the class of the field. Chris Parnham knows exactly how to balance her. Avoidance is the danger, coming off a gritty win. He’ll likely lead, and if the rail is as hot as expected, he might be hard to get past.

  • Recommended Bet: Medium (1.5 Units) - Haida Gwaii (Est. $3.50)

  • Mini Table:

SelectionDangerComment
Haida GwaiiAvoidanceTrack/Distance specialist. Hard to beat when she finds the front.

Framed Market (105%):

Haida Gwaii $3.20, Avoidance $4.80, Keep Ita Mystery $5.50, Prawns Eleven $9.00, Others $15+.

Comments

  • ChrisChris    5,734 posts
    edited February 15

    Race 6: MORLEY GROWERS MARKET - CHALLENGE STAKES (1500m)

    Playin’it Sweet has never finished out of the money in 11 starts. That is a stat you can set your watch by. Her win in the WA Breeders was a tactical masterclass, and the step up to 1500m looks ideal. She’s the anchor for all multis. Dominatus is the logical danger, coming off back-to-back wins earlier in the prep and trial-ing like a rocket recently.

    • Recommended Bet: Best Bet (3 Units) - Playin’it Sweet (Live Price $2.50)

    • Mini Table:

    SelectionDangerComment
    Playin'it SweetDominatusProfessional winner; the 100% place record is elite.

    Framed Market (105%):

    Playin'it Sweet $2.40, Dominatus $4.20, Yapper $7.50, Linchpin $10.00, Others $15+.


    Race 7: SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1800m)

    We finish the day with a bit of a puzzle. Mistress Of War is in career-best form, having won her last two starts including an 1800m victory right here at headquarters. She sits on the speed and is hard to peg back. The weight is creeping up, but she’s the fit horse in the race. Back To Bondi is the massive improver; he’s raw but his 1600m win last start was full of merit. If he handles the extra 200m, he’s the one coming at them late.

    • Recommended Bet: Bet (1 Unit) - Mistress Of War (Est. $4.50)

    • Mini Table:

    SelectionDangerComment
    Mistress Of WarBack To BondiSpeed horse who makes her own luck. Fits the profile for a +11m rail.

    Framed Market (105%):

    Mistress Of War $4.20, Back To Bondi $5.50, Royal Splendour $7.00, Cheyne Bay $8.50, Others $12+.


    Summary of Best Bets

    ConfidenceStakeHorseRace
    Best Bet3 UnitsWho's BentRace 2
    Best Bet3 UnitsPlayin'it SweetRace 6
    High2 UnitsCall Me FrostyRace 1
    High2 UnitsThe Crimson PirateRace 3
    High2 UnitsMagical SequenceRace 4
    Medium1.5 UnitsHaida GwaiiRace 5
    Bet1 UnitMistress Of WarRace 7
    Bomb0.5 UnitsWritten WordsRace 4
  • DamienWyerDamienWyer    7,984 posts
    Playin'it Sweet in winning has pulled up lame in it's near fore and will need a certificate. Makes the win all that more remarkable.
  • silkysilky    430 posts
    With that win she also became the highest ever earner of westspeed bonuses and still counting
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